"Harsh realities of an Obama victory in 2012"
By Dwight L. Schwab, Jr., for the Bay Area Moderate Conservative Examiner
Dr. Walter Williams, noted commentator, educator and author has made a startling prediction about Barack Obama's possible (imminent to the doctor) re-election next year. As a noted black conservative economist, he has taught at several universities and currently teaches at George Mason University.
Here is Dr. William's rationale by sheer numbers to support his reasoning:
The media won't talk about a one-sided victory that is assured because a hard fought election means hundreds of millions (or in Obama's case – billions) to them in advertising.
The simple truth is, there is simply no conditions under which Barack Obama can be defeated in 2012.
The quality of the Republican candidates doesn't matter. Obama gets re-elected with nine percent unemployment as the first president to do so since FDR. No problem - Obama will win. Gas prices moving toward $5 a gallon? He still wins. The economy sinks into the gutter? Obama wins. War in the Middle East? He wins a second-term.America's role as the leading super power disappears? Hurrah for Barack Obama! The U.S. government rushes toward bankruptcy, the dollar continues to sink on world markets and the price of daily goods and services soar due to inflation fueled by Obama's extraordinary deficit spending? Obama wins handily.
Critics argue that Dr. Williams is crazy. He doesn't understand volatile politics and world conditions that are declining. Williams responds with a simple, “Sure I know. That's why I know Obama will win. The American people are notoriously ignorant of economics. Economics is the key to why Obama should be defeated.”
Williams continues, “Even when Obama's policies lead the nation to final ruin, the majority of the American people are going to believe the bait-and-switch tactics Obama and his supporters in the media use to explain why it isn't his fault. After all, things were much worse than understood when he took office.”
Obama's re-election is a very simple math problem according to Dr. William's calculations:
Blacks will vote for Obama blindly, period. Doesn't matter what he does.College educated women will vote for Obama. Though they will be offended by this, they swoon at his oratory. It's really not more complex than that.
Liberals will vote for Obama. He is their last great hope.
Democrats will vote for Obama. He is the leader of the party and his coattails will carry them to victory nationwide.
Hispanics will vote for Obama. He is the path to citizenship for those who are illegal. Hispanic leaders recognize the political clout they carry in the Democratic Party.
Union members will vote overwhelmingly for Obama. He is their key to money and power in business, state and local politics.
Big business will support Obama. They already have. He has almost $1 billion in his re-election coffers gained largely from his connections with big business and is gaining every day. Big business loves Obama because he gives them access to taxpayer money as long as they support his social and political goals.
The media love him. They may attack the people who work for him, but they love him. After all, to not love him would be racist in their world of liberalism.
Most other minorities and special interest groups will vote for him. Oddly, the overwhelming majority of Jews and Muslims will support him because they won't vote Republican. American Indians will support him. Obviously homosexuals tend to vote Democratic. And lastly ….
Approximately half of independents will vote for Obama. And he doesn't need anywhere near that number because he has all of the groups previously mentioned. The president will win an overwhelming victory in 2012.
One man's opinion in December, 2011, 11 months before the election.
Professor Joseph Olson of Hamline University of Law in St. Paul, MN points out some interesting facts concerning the last presidential election:
- Number of states won by Obama: 19 - McCain: 29
- Square miles of land won by Obama: 580,000 – McCain: 2,427,000
- Population of counties won by Obama: 127 million – McCain: 143
- Murder rate per 100,000 residents in counties won by Obama: 13.2 – McCain: 2
According to Professor Olson, “In aggregate, the map of the territory McCain won was mostly land owned by taxpaying citizens of the country. Obama territory mostly encompassed those citizens living in low income tenements and living off various forms of government welfare ...”
Olson believes the United States is now somewhere between the “complacency and apathy” phase of Dr. William's definition of democracy, with some forty percent of the nation's population already having reached the governmental dependency” phase.
If Congress grants amnesty and citizenship to 11 million criminal invaders called illegals – and they vote – than we can say goodbye to the U.S.A., as we know it, in fewer than five years, according to Professor Olson.
A dismal future of the Republican Party from two learned opinions. A warning that should be heeded seriously by whichever Republican wins the nomination next year indeed."
I look forward to comments, but please don't criticize or waste our reading time with "Not ALL Blacks vote for Obama"....We all know this is an article and he is generalizing to make his points. No, not ALL of any group mentioned will vote for Obama; the majority? Yes. For the reasons above. Also, I know that some of my liberal readers will question saying "Goodbye to the USA" Take heed to the next words..."as we know it." BIG consideration..........especially for those of us who remember what America was like when everyone, natural born and naturalized, here put her first. BIG difference.
After writing this post on Monday, I was in the car listening to Michael Medved who quoted from several polls..........Obama's losing a lot in demographics he'd won over in the last election. I hope Williams sees those and writes again. I still agree with Williams in that I think it will be nearly impossible to beat Obama (particularly if Ron Paul is chosen, which he will not...remember McCain was LAST in the Iowa Caucuses), but I have to veer toward Romney because the reasons most of those in the once-Obama, now-more pro Republican voters are giving is THE ECONOMY.
z
45 comments:
Off Topic: For those of you who said a prayer for young THomas, his procedure finally worked and he's out of the woods! Thanks so much.
z
Good news about Thomas!
I hope Williams is wrong, but I've got that sinking feeling...
I think Williams is wrong.
National polling doesn't look for Obama no matter who he's running against.
It's so bad top Democratic pollsters have come out asking Obama to step aside and let someone else (Hillary) run.
The election is still almost a year away from now.
The media needs viewers and ratings even more than Obama needs voters.
How's the left-wing Air America working out?
Beamish, Air America's a curiosity; I like to think it's a sign of the end of Democrat dominance, but...Obama DID get elected well after their 'best people' fled.
You say "It's so bad top Democratic pollsters have come out asking Obama to step aside and let someone else (Hillary) run." Really?
Brooke, I have a sinking feeling, too.
See, it's one thing for our liberal friends to say they're sick of Obama, he's not done well, etc., but what MY BIGGEST FEAR is that the indoctrination and the media have done such a job that to vote Republican is repugnant to even some thinking voters. I had someone agree with me on every point we were discussing once and I said "Hey, you're a Republican!" and he said "No, I could NEVER vote Republican" It's like "WAKE UP, MAN!"
A black girlfriend agrees with me on most of the politics we discuss but tells me it would dishonor to not for Democrat because "My family always has" And she's VERY bright!!
ugh To go from being ticked at Obama, for a lib, and then voting Republican, is going to be a RARE thing
brooke, isn't it great news? That 13 yr old had a day of heavy morphine as they plumbed down his nose to break up blockages caused by a spleen problem a month or so ago! The docs were SO relieved they were able to get through finally...poor kid!!
Z, most people want to be nice and feel good.
I am personally tired of democracy. I'd rather have chaos sometimes than obeying to the majority of idiots.
FrogBurger, could you be more specific? I'm interested in your comment.
I think of 'The tyranny of the minority'...and how those with their palms open are voting to fill their palms and putting their country second. As if this constant welfare of feeding illegals, for example, isn't going to run out. Did you know the hispanic immigration into California is down because of the lack of jobs? I'm thinking the Iranian terrorist immigration's just stepping up ... :-(
You say "It's so bad top Democratic pollsters have come out asking Obama to step aside and let someone else (Hillary) run." Really?
You missed this?
Z I can't be specific more than mentioning Lysander Spooner :)
Honestly I got tired of enduring the consequences of idiots voting in France. Now I have idiots voting here and it's all the same. I just want to go to a land where I can live the way I want to live.
Beamish, that's a month old; it was Doug and Pat and that's that. I thought you meant a big push for Hillary...
FB..LYSANDER SPOONER? How'd you ever hear of HIM? :-) and what do you think of him? Abolitionist BUT big labor buddy, huh?
But, also believed in entrepreneurship, no?
There are idiots everywhere, and they vote. Sadly, the idiots we have here now don't understand our history, our stamp on the world or greatness and why we need to stay great.
At least in France they know their history :-) And the French don't have ex presidents come to America and slam the French like Clinton did in England. And I've rarely seen a French celebrity come to AMerica and diss France, like ours do there. I personally think OUR idiots are bigger than YOUR IDIOTS :-)
I hope Williams is wrong. The US can't withstand another 4 years of BO's disastrous policies.
Dr. Williams, who is a brilliant economist, is no sooth sayer, and does not have a crystal ball (unlike Larry Sabato). He's been wrong before on his political guesses, and I'm hoping he's got this one wrong, too.
Dr. Sabato sees it differently. And he's a Democrat. Somebody's wrong.
I think all of these welfare recipients are fat, dumb and happy with their lives right now, and will not get off of their fat dumb butts to waddle down to the polls in November, while every conservative I know is chomping at the bit to vote in this next election and would crawl through seven miles of broken glass to get to the polls this time around.
Somebody's wrong, I hope it's not me.
Cube, we certainly CANNOT.
Fredd, you cheered me up, thanks for that. They might be picked up and driven there, or young people might vote FOR them via absentee ballot (which a friend saw an enormous amount of in the Black medical office she worked in for 35 years 'isn't it nice that the young people come fill my ballot out!?' ...and I saw young people wheeling in the elderly at the old age home where my precinct was in 2008 voting for them, too) but, in general, you're right. MOst won't vote.
"Seven miles of broken glass" was what liberals walked thru to get Obama elected (broken fraudulant glass part of the time, by the way). I think you're right that it's OUR TURN next :-)
Beamish is absolutely correct in pointing out that the election is almost a year away.
A lot can happen before then.
Remember this time in 1979? At that point, all the experts declared that Jimmy Peanut would win, if I recall correctly.
Then, the 1980 tipping point came along.
Sure, there's no Reagan on the scene now. But there doesn't have to be!
Let us also remember the 1976 tipping point, which swept Jimmy Peanut into office.
I hope Beamish is right too.
It's very tough for me to see 2 countries be or go the left way in a lifetime.
But i have faith in the American people. The brainwashing hasn't totally taken place... yet whereas the French are just so much up their butt that they don't even know what the options are.
Z..thanks for posting this, even though it made me sick to read it.
It's nothing that I haven't been thinking for a long time, anyway.
I don't believe that anyone has a chance against him..not because they are not qualified, but because of all of the things Mr. Williams talked about.
Even Bill Clinton said that he was going to vote for him, last night in an interview..but I guess if you are Bill Clinton, you have nothing to worry about, anyway.
Who could have dreamed that this would be happening here, in this country?
It really is as if there are scales over the eyes of the people, when it comes to judging Obama...either that, or they just don't care, as long as they think they will benefit, somehow.
Maybe, if everything happened to be honest, and above board, as far as elections go, someone could win over him...but, we all know that is not the case, here.
Is anyone else experiencing that feeling of doom that I'm feeling, right now?
Fredd..I do hope you're right.
I think we all need to keep praying for a miracle...
AOW, I think everyone knows when the election is, what's really important right now is the Republican primary. That's not so far off, (thankfully, who could take much more debate!!?) :-)
We mustn't forget that McCain placed last in Iowa and ..God help us...got the nomination. SO, there's hope that we'll pick someone who has a chance of winning.
The only thing that could happen for sure this year (we don't know what might happen, of course) is that Newt's background will be delved into even more deeply and then he's out. Sadly, it might happen after he's the nominee. God help us.
As some have said (mostly me :-), based on what I'm hearing from Newt's personal friends like BillBennett, Newt's about Newt.
I sensed that watching him in debates as his eyes scour the crowd weirdly as he speaks "hear me? I'm right, RIGHT?!"
We all know he's terribly smart and loves this country, but I don't think he's got a ghost of a chance.
FrogBurger, it must be frustrating for you having gone from France to here and now THIS!? Mr. Z was stunned by Americans, too...he wanted to write a book on how Americans ignore what DOES work and seem to cozy up to what most decidedly does not (Socialism)
Did you all hear that WHoopi Goldberg was waxing eloquent on Communism today, saying it's fabulous but nobody's done it quite right yet?
THIS is what we're dealing with...libs have said that for yeasr but, rightfully, they were fringe nuts...now they have center stage to spew their lies and inability to understand real life.
Odd, as I typed that I realized that could have been the plan; get them known, get them spewing to the masses. hmmm
Jan, it will take a miracle to beat Obama, there's no doubt about it.
I do hope some are right here in suggesting he's lagging right now; I did hear that the polls are reflecting more for us than Williams says here (only recently, they're changing), but maybe the media's SO in his bag that they're covering a lot of discontent up? That could be it.
They're certainly picking the Republican candidate by knocking some and not knocking others.
They say the WH is more afraid of Romney, yet their media folks at the networks and CNN rarely knock Romney.
Something's up...if the Left doesn't win fraudulantly, they'll win through media misinformation..
which reminds me of a short post I'm going to do now. thanks
Whoopi and people who say that are just losers and idiots. It shows little insight into human nature, condition and how this planet goes round.
Only way communism can work is by removing all our natural instincts. I guess we can implement computers instead of our brains.
If communism was around, nobody would watch her stupid show.
Beamish, that's a month old; it was Doug and Pat and that's that. I thought you meant a big push for Hillary...
Maybe not a "big push" for Hillary, but I believe it's a clear symptom of "Obama fatigue" on the Democrat side of the spectrum. Clearly there is a good-sized number of Democrats that would prefer to be running a different candidate than their incumbent.
Democrat enthusiasm is on the wane.
FB, if communism around, who'd have TV sets and free market shows/ads, etc? You're right.
But, she does have a big audience to spew to. and that can be effective.
God, I remember the time McCain was on THE VIEW and B Walters LITERALLY couldn't look at him directly.....Joy Behar twitches her hands when she disapproves something and, that day, she looked like she was playing castenets! And then there's the miserable excuse for a Conservative Elizabeth ("I think Rosie's home life is wonderful and you'd all think that if you could be there")Ha...whatever her name is. !!!
Beamish, I hope so. I know Doug and Pat are moderate Democrats (I met Pat once when I was talking with Breitbart and I told him LITERALLY "I'm surprised you're on TV, Mr Caddell, you're so even handed in your thinking!")
But, yes, if THEY feel that way, probably literally millions do also.
Still, the jump from "I hate Obama now" and "I'll vote Republican" is a Grand Canyon-esque jump for most people left of Conservative. YOu have to admit.
have you all seen THIS ABOUT NEWT?
maybe they ARE more afraid of him than I'd thought?
Williams my be right, but I still maintain there will be a lot of liberals who will simply not vote.
Did you read what Matt Damon said in Elle Magazine about Obama?
“I’ve talked to a lot of people who worked for Obama at the grassroots level,” he said. “One of them said to me, ‘Never again. I will never be fooled again by a politician.’
“You know, a one-term president with some balls who actually got stuff done would have been, in the long run of the country, much better,”
Even Damon's elitest friends are saying the same thing my liberal friends are saying.
They bought into the hype and are extremely disappointed. I think he generated a lot of enthusiasm four years ago, and now most have lost interest.
OK, maybe I'm an optimist, but I pray for anyone other than Obama.
Well, except for Ron Paul. I'll be sitting home if he hijacks the GOP nomination.
Rita, but you agree with me that those liberals won't vote GOP. Every darned time (maybe with very few exceptions) when I've asked a pro Obama person what turned him or her against him, it'll be that OBAMA WASN'T IDEOLOGICAL ENOUGH....he didn't close Gitmo, he didn't stop the war right away, blahblah.
I get hopeful, then I'm dashed again!!
But, no vote at all is a good thing, isn't it!!!
FB...."I'd rather have chaos sometimes than obeying to the majority of idiots."
It certainly looks as though we're headed that way. Once the electoral process is hijacked forever by illegals and dishonesty and intimidation at the polls again. When the Malik Shabazz's have their way...when SEIU has a cabinet position...when Valerie Jarret holds more power than the Joint Chiefs....when La Raza has a seat at the table...when the OWS form a third party...when Islam holds such power with their PC scimitar looking for heads to decapitate through their law suits and PC intimidation...when God is finally flushed from the countries vernacular...
We might see a move to form another union? Will we deicide to sit by and watch lawless "leaders" like Holder and the ATF commit crimes against American citizens as well as Mexicans...sit by while the government regulates our light bulb choices and decides to pull the 2nd amendment from the Bill of Rights and the constitution?
Will we accept Euroazation?
Exactly my point Z. The very disenchanted liberals stay home and the ill-informed independents that bought into the hype (heck I even know of a lot of conservatives that bought into it) could vote GOP.
Everyone in my husband's family voted for Obama. It got to the point where he had to go to the other room because he was so irritated that they wanted something for nothing. This is a man who normally cares nothing about politics.
Now everyone of them either completely disagree with Obama or reluctantly say there is not much of a choice next year. This is not a family of liberals.
That's why I take heart that these same people will not vote for him again. They'll either stay home or vote, "Not Obama".
Imp, as long as the left keeps promising freebies we can't afford, we're going toward Europe's failing pattern.
Rita...let's HOPE people like them vote ANYTHING BUT OBAMA next year! That's kind of encouraging to me!
I know no conservatives who admitted they voted for Obama, but I'll bet you're quite right in suggesting they exist.
The really HORRID thing is hearing conservatives say they didn't vote...and won't vote in 2012 unless they like the candidate. They honestly don't realize how bad another four years of OBAMA iS?! yikes
You better hope Obama is re-elected. If anyone of the current crop of GOP candidates become President, we're cooked!
Unless of course you like seeing our jobs go overseas, our democracy sold to lobbyists of corporations, your social security-gone, medicare-gone, your health care back to the days where you could lose your house to pay medical bills or see a relative die because they were denied coverage or have to hold a fundraiser at the local VFW to help pay for medical bills.
What are you, idiots?
LibKid: Why don't you come back and visit us again in 10 years? Unless you're just someone who plans to live their life on other's people money, you will look back on these idiotic comments you make and hang your head in shame.
Please go join your buddies in the Occupy movement. There are plenty of sites that are as ill informed as you are.
Libdude, you said:
"You better hope Obama is re-elected. If anyone of the current crop of GOP candidates become President, we're cooked!
Unless of course you like seeing our jobs go overseas, our democracy sold to lobbyists of corporations,"
And you think we aren't seeing that, and worse, right now, under his administration?
How much worse does it have to get before you, and others who seem to think that he is some kind of miracle worker, realize what is happening to this country?
Don't you ever read, or watch, anything that doesn't glorify him, or cover up every single negative thing about him?
Are you even aware of his associates, past, and present? Do you even know anything about any of the people he has appointed to very powerful positions?
Or do you rely on, only, MSNBC and the likes, for your information?
You seem to think that you, and others like you, are so enlightened, so intellecually astute, but in reality, you are all brainwashed!
You are to be pitied, because you are so misguided.
If you really care what happens to people, including yourself, and your own family, you will make an effort to learn the truth about the direction our country is headed under this administration,
And just for everyone's edjumacation, not all gay's are liberals. I have three openly gay friends on facebook who are very conservatives. They would never vote for Obama.
Still, the jump from "I hate Obama now" and "I'll vote Republican" is a Grand Canyon-esque jump for most people left of Conservative. YOu have to admit.
Reagan's landslide victories weren't brought about solely and entirely by conservative voters.
I don't think we have Reagan-level landslide support against Obama fusing independents and conservatives and drawing out Democrat centrists and right-wingers (if any of those still exist after 1980), but I think we've got a shot at building a majority from those bases with Gingrich, and honestly, Romney too.
I just don't see me on the Romney sales team.
I'm an "ABOROP" voter. Anyone but Obama, Romney, or Paul.
Liberaldude, listen CAREFULLY.
I SWEAR TO GOD I WILL FREAKIN' DELETE EVERY ONE OF YOUR DUNCE CAP-DESERVING IDIOTIC COMMENTS UNLESS YOU STOP INSULTING. YOU ARE FAR FROM HAVING THE TALENT OR THE SUPERIORITY TO EVER INSULT ANYBODY, TRUST ME.
THAT'S IT...NEVER AGAIN.
Where the HELL do YOU , you little freakin' PUNK, get off?
And, I'll throw in that I'll probably delete all the FIST avatars, too..........
I'm ONLY not deleting you know because people have responded to you.........fair warning, you jerk.
stronger letter to follow
oh, man, that felt GOOD :-)
I think I love you Z!
Whewww...
That even made ME feel better, too, Z!
"LOL" :)
Rita and Jan, you made me laugh out loud and I needed that!! Thanks, you darling people :-)
I don't have a feeling of doom. We're in a fight, and to me, that means we can't afford to feel down. It's early and we can't foretell the future.
We need our energy to get involved, to donate money, and to back whoever the nominee is.
We have one goal and that is to see Obama lose. We have to keep our eye on the prize, and not allow pessimism rule the day.
Ok, Newt's about Newt. Is there a candidate, or politician who isn't about him or herself? I've never seen one. One would have to have confidence in himself, wouldn't he?
If a politician isn't confident why would anyone vote for him?
I don't expect perfection, I expect loyalty to our country, something we don't have from our current President.
I don't see any candidate who wouldn't be a big improvement over Obama, and that's good enough for me!
Pris, of course all politicians are 'confident', shall we say. I get a creepy feeling watching Newt and I admire Bill Bennett and he only confirmed my feelings about Newt.
As I've said before "I'd vote for Jack the Republican Ripper versus Obama" and I really don't think we can win with Newt.
Hey LibTurd, the French have said the same things for years and yet the healthcare system is getting worse and all the jobs were sent to Romania and China. That after 21 years of socialism and decades of statism. How do you explain it?
Loved your rant, Z. It does feel good, hein? That's how I feel with people like that. I just want to bang my head against the wall. This LibTurd should go study Europe and come back to us.
Newt's grin gives me the creep when he laughs. I don't know if it's because he's nerdy or a super smart psychopath.
Being in CA, I think we'll have a better picture who to vote for since most candidates will be gone by then.
So we can vote for the leftovers.
Ur a class act, Z...
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